prediction-market-oracle-research
Research prediction markets as data sources or oracle signals for products, agents, dashboards, and corporate decision intelligence. Use for source-grounded analysis of market-implied probabilities, caveats, and integration patterns without investment advice. Use when evaluating prediction markets as a data source or oracle signal for a product, agent, or dashboard.
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This is a SKILL.md that directs an AI agent through source-grounded research on prediction markets as data sources or oracle signals. It includes guardrails against treating prices as truth or giving investment advice, a research workflow, integration patterns, and a structured output contract.
Reach for it when evaluating prediction markets as an input for a product, agent, dashboard, or corporate decision intelligence.
Use it to
- Evaluate prediction markets as a forecasting input
- Add market-implied probabilities to a dashboard
- Research integration patterns for oracle signals
- Compare market signals with other sources
- Document caveats and signal quality
For Developers and analysts building agents, dashboards, or decision-intelligence tools
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